Moderate Risk – Severe Weather Threat for Elmore County – February 23, 2016

A portion of Elmore County has been placed under a Moderate risk for severe weather for today (this afternoon through the early morning hours Wednesday) by the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center.

 According to the NWS as a surface low rapidly deepens today it will track across northern Mississippi and western Tennessee. A squall line will track eastward across central Alabama tonight. The squall line will be moving through our area rapidly and at this time and is expected to move through Elmore County sometime between 8:00 p.m. tonight and 3:00 a.m. tomorrow morning. Models are in good agreement leading to a higher confidence. Strong to severe storms will be possible as early as 4:00 p.m. Tuesday afternoon in the western counties of State and the threat will last until 4:00 a.m. Wednesday morning in the eastern counties. All types of severe weather will be possible and include tornadoes, damaging straight line winds and large hail.

We will have another briefing with the NWS at 11:00 a.m. We will send out updated information soon after this briefing. We do not anticipate much of a change at this point, but the timing should be watched closely.

 This is a serious severe weather threat and we encourage everyone to review their severe weather plans and be ready to implement them.

 A Wind Advisory for Elmore County is in effect from 3:00 p.m. this afternoon through 9:00 p.m. Wednesday night. Strong gusty winds not associated with thunderstorms will also be possible this afternoon through tomorrow. Winds will be 20 to 30 mph with gust of 35 to 40 mph will be possible.

 Below are a couple of graphics from the NWS Storm Prediction Center and the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham.

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