Memorial Day Weekend Weather and Sub Tropical Storm Alberto!

Below you will find the latest Hazardous Weather Outlook for Elmore County, a Discussion and Outlook for Sub-Tropical Storm Alberto, and 2 graphics from the National Weather Service, Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham, Alabama and the National Hurricane Center.

Heavy Rainfall is expected for the Memorial Day Weekend, please make sure you have a way to receive weather information at all times.

If you are going to the beach during this holiday, Please be informed of the possibility for RIP CURRENTS associated with STS Alberto!

Elmore County EMA will continue to monitor the situation throughout the holiday and update our website as information becomes available.

Hazardous Weather Outlook for Elmore County

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

928 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

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928 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the

National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE…Today and Tonight.

Slow moving thunderstorms will produce periods of heavy rainfall

this afternoon, and localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Saturday through Thursday.

A very moist air mass will continue across Central Alabama into next

week, and there is a potential for localized areas of heavy rainfall

each day. A tropical disturbance moving northward across the Gulf of

Mexico may bring an enhanced threat for heavy rainfall Sunday

through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not

expected at this time.

For Sub-Tropical Storm Alberto

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto

was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 86.8 West. The storm

is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A general

slow motion toward the north is expected through the weekend,

followed by a northwest turn by Monday. On the forecast track,

Alberto is expected to pass near the eastern coast of the Yucatan

peninsula tonight, be near the western tip of Cuba Saturday morning,

emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday night, and

approach the north-central Gulf Coast on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

Gradual strengthening is forecast for the next 72 hours.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the

center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL:  Alberto is expected to produce total rain accumulations

of 10 to 15 inches with isolated totals of 25 inches across the

northeastern portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba.

These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and

mudslides. Rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with maximum

amounts of 12 inches are possible across the Florida Keys and

southern and southwestern Florida.  Heavy rain will likely begin

to affect the central Gulf Coast region and the southeastern Untied

States later this weekend and continue into early next week.

Flooding potential will increase across this region early next

week as Alberto is forecast to slow down after it moves inland.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch

area through Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Alberto are affecting portions of

the coast of eastern Yucatan Peninsula and western Cuba.  These

swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current

conditions.  Hazardous surf conditions are likely to develop along

much of the central and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast this weekend. For

more information, consult products from your local weather office.

GRAPHICS