Moderate Risk – Severe Weather Threat for Elmore County – February 23, 2016

A portion of Elmore County has been placed under a Moderate risk for severe weather for today (this afternoon through the early morning hours Wednesday) by the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center.

 According to the NWS as a surface low rapidly deepens today it will track across northern Mississippi and western Tennessee. A squall line will track eastward across central Alabama tonight. The squall line will be moving through our area rapidly and at this time and is expected to move through Elmore County sometime between 8:00 p.m. tonight and 3:00 a.m. tomorrow morning. Models are in good agreement leading to a higher confidence. Strong to severe storms will be possible as early as 4:00 p.m. Tuesday afternoon in the western counties of State and the threat will last until 4:00 a.m. Wednesday morning in the eastern counties. All types of severe weather will be possible and include tornadoes, damaging straight line winds and large hail.

We will have another briefing with the NWS at 11:00 a.m. We will send out updated information soon after this briefing. We do not anticipate much of a change at this point, but the timing should be watched closely.

 This is a serious severe weather threat and we encourage everyone to review their severe weather plans and be ready to implement them.

 A Wind Advisory for Elmore County is in effect from 3:00 p.m. this afternoon through 9:00 p.m. Wednesday night. Strong gusty winds not associated with thunderstorms will also be possible this afternoon through tomorrow. Winds will be 20 to 30 mph with gust of 35 to 40 mph will be possible.

 Below are a couple of graphics from the NWS Storm Prediction Center and the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham.

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Severe Weather Threat for Elmore County – UPDATED -Tuesday, February 23 through Wednesday morning

This post is to show updated graphic from the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham. Please understand that the timing for the severe weather threat for Elmore County is roughly 8:00 p.m. tomorrow night through 1:00 a.m. Wednesday morning. This graphic depicts an increase in the risk for severe weather for all of central Alabama from what was originally posted earlier this morning.

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Severe Weather Threat for Elmore County – Tuesday, February 23 through Wednesday morning

Elmore County has been placed under an Enhanced risk for severe weather for tomorrow by the National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center. According to the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham severe thunderstorms are possible late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night and will last through early Wednesday morning.

 According to the NWS as a surface low rapidly deepens on Tuesday it will track across northern Mississippi and western Tennessee. A squall line will track eastward across central Alabama Tuesday night. The squall line will be moving through our area rapidly and at this time is expected to move through Elmore County sometime between 9:00 p.m. and 2:00 a.m. Wednesday morning. Models are in good agreement leading to a higher confidence. Strong to severe storms will be possible as early as 4:00 p.m. Tuesday afternoon in the west and the threat will last until 4:00 a.m. Wednesday morning in the east. All types of severe weather will be possible and include tornadoes, damaging straight line winds and large hail. Strong gusty winds not associated with thunderstorms will also be possible Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday.

 We will send out updated information as we have it this afternoon. Below are a couple of graphics from the NWS Storm Prediction Center and the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham.

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR ELMORE COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON – APRIL 25, 2015

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL

222 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ALZ011>015-017>050-262230-

MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-

CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-

CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-

CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-

BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-

222 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE…THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH 6 PM. THE THREAT AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A GEIGER…TO JEMISON…TO LAFAYETTE LINE. HOWEVER…THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A SWEET WATER…TO HAYNEVILLE…TO UNION SPRINGS LINE. THE THREATS INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

 .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT…

 ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

Elmore County EMA will be monitoring this weather situation.

 

Elmore County has been placed under a Tornado Watch until 12:00 pm

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

TORNADO WATCH 108 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ALC001-003-005-011-013-025-031-035-039-041-045-051-053-061-067-
069-085-087-097-099-101-109-113-131-251700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0108.150425T1000Z-150425T1700Z/

AL
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AUTAUGA              BALDWIN             BARBOUR
BULLOCK              BUTLER              CLARKE
COFFEE               CONECUH             COVINGTON
CRENSHAW             DALE                ELMORE
ESCAMBIA             GENEVA              HENRY
HOUSTON              LOWNDES             MACON
MOBILE               MONROE              MONTGOMERY
PIKE                 RUSSELL             WILCOX

Slight risk of Severe Weather for Saturday, April 25th

Elmore County has been placed under a Slight risk for severe weather on Saturday, April 25th by the NWS Storm Prediction Center. According to the NWS Weather Forecast Office in Birmingham, all of Central Alabama will have a chance for severe weather as a frontal system moves through the State. There will be 2 rounds of weather that may produce showers and thunderstorms. The first round will be tonight after midnight and the second round may develop tomorrow afternoon from noon to 8:00 p.m. Tonight isolated strong storms and heavy rainfall will be possible. The severity of the second round tomorrow afternoon will largely depend on the amount of clearing and how much warming we get during the afternoon hours. Should we remain cloudy and overcast the severity for thunderstorm activity should be less. According to the NWS there is a fair amount of uncertainty in the forecast for our area with regards to timing and intensity of storm activity tomorrow.

Below is a graphic provided by the NWS showing severe weather possible and the possible timing.

We will be monitoring this weather system and will follow up with additional information if any major changes in the forecast.

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Elmore County Safer Places Open

Several of Elmore County’s Safer Places are open. Check our website: www.elmorecoema.com for locations, directions, special instructions. It is located at the top of the right sidebar. Check back for updates.

St. James Baptist Church, Eclectic Police Department, Tallassee City Hall, Redland Baptist Church, The Elmore County Courthouse downtown in Wetumpka, First Presbyterian Church of Wetumpka.